One thing I've noticed is that after huge events like the current financial crisis, it's always easy to look back and say, "yea, I saw that one coming from a mile away". I'd like to apply this line of thinking to the future and see how good we really are. So I'd like to post a series of questions about the future for people to answer now (just use the comments feature and copy and paste the questions), and we can see how good we really are at predicting the future. Answer as many questions as you feel like. If nothing else, it's a fun way to think about future global scenarios and to get insight into how others are thinking about it.
What will the Dow Jones Industrial Average be in 6 months?
Assuming the Democrats sweep the US Election, how long will they stay in power before screwing it all up?
What will the Dollar/Pound exchange rate be in one year?
When will the housing crisis be 'over' (defined as when cable news networks stop talking about it)?
Will there be a clean tech bubble similar to the IT bubble of the late 90s?
What is the next big 'hot' area of the global economy?
Will this be accompanied by a global boom similar to the 1990s?
Who will Russia or the US invade next? (joking, sort of)
Are we looking at a new cold war? Are there any prospects for continued collaboration and cooperation between the two former superpowers?
Is the term 'superpower' relevant any more?
When will China's GDP surpass the US (or EU) based on purchasing power
When will India's GDP surpass the US (or EU) based on purchasing power
Will there be a permanent shift away from concentrated political power in North America and Europe to concentrated power in Asia and South America in the coming years, or will the world be more balanced?
What will the price of oil be in 6 months?
When will we reach peak oil?
How much longer will gordon brown remain the prime minister?
Who will host the Olympics in 2016?
While this financial crisis precipitate a depression (10% or greater contraction in GDP) or just a recession?
And how long will it last?
Does the current crisis mean an end to globalisation and liberal markets on the western model?
Will there be a nuclear power renaissance? What about wind? Solar?
Will Iran liberalise?
What about Pakistan?
Will Afghanistan collapse (more than it already has), or will things get better?
What about Iraq?
What is the future of the Kyoto Protocol and its successors? Will China/US/India succumb to an emissions monitoring agreement?
During what year will you first be able to take a holiday cruise to the North Pole?